Senate polling averages 17 days from Election Day indicate Republicans may win majority
Polling rates and voting forms Indicates a surge in Republican support in Senate races ahead of the midterm elections.
RealClearPolitics is looking forward The Republican Party is on track to overturn the Senate races in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, even though average polls show Democrat Raphael Warnock ahead of Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia.
Monday, The New York Times / Siena College Latest Poll Republicans showed a four-point lead, 49% to 45%, over Democrats when voters were asked who they would prefer represented in Congress. Just last month, the Times/Siena ballot in September featured Democrats with a one-point advantage over Republicans.
suffrage for 2022 general vote in Congress A closely watched index of mid-term performance shows the average Democrats’ edge over Republicans peaking in mid-September by 1.3%, a nice advantage given Biden’s acceptance rating has always hovered in the low 40s.
Election data analysis from FiveThirtyEight Saturday’s update put the Senate race in dead heat.
The The Senate is currently divided 50-50 Between the two major parties, but the Democrats hold the majority, thanks to the split vote of Vice President Kamala Harris.
This means that the Republican Party needs a net gain of just one seat to regain the majority it lost when it swept it in the Senate’s January 5, 2021, double run-off in Georgia.
Republicans defend 21 of the 35 seats up for grabs in November, including five for retired Republicans. Three of those open seats are on general election battlefields in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and the competitive state of Ohio.
Meanwhile, Republicans are slowly making their way to victory in the House of Representatives by making gains on the West Coast, even as paths remain for Democrats to stay in power.
The latest projections show Republicans winning 232 seats, or a majority of 15 seats. Democrats will take 203 seats remaining. This is a small shift in favor of the Republican Party since earlier expectations.
Notably, if Republicans had a good night in November (in other words, if they won all of the most competitive House races), the party would win 248 seats, or a majority of 31.
Paul Steinhauser and Sophia Slasik of Fox News contributed to this report.